Uncertainty creates significant challenges for business managers, and while variability in outcomes is a business constant, the degree of uncertainty during a pandemic is extraordinary. Therefore, how do community banks distill today’s interest rate forecasts and position their loan portfolio for optimal performance? Choosing the duration of your loan portfolio isn’t a passive decision. Banks can play an active roll in structuring their loans to achieve both the optimal duration for the borrower as well as for the bank.
We are working with numerous community bankers to develop strategies for instituting floors on commercial loans. The idea of protecting floating or adjustable rate assets is not new to community bankers, but the current interest in this concept is spurred by specific and unusual communications and market developments that are worth analyzing.
A flat yield curve has us scratching our heads – should we be originating fixed or floating rate loans? If bankers believe that the current shape of the yield curve is a harbinger of an impending recession, then booking fixed rate loans may be a winning strategy. However, if you believe, as we do, that there simply isn’t enough data as yet to point with a moderate degree of confidence to an economic recession in 2019 or 2020 then booking floating rate loans may be a better strategy. We have developed a technique and loan structure to assist bankers who espouse the former scenario and are
Every year we analyze the historical cost of funding earning assets (COF) for all banks in the country. We perform this analysis on every bank from 1990 to the present to understand the drivers of COF, how banks can improve performance by controlling their COF and how funding costs will behave in the future.